"The number of accounts opened exceeds expectations" is a general evaluation of the pilot situation of personal pension in the industry. Starting with the announcement of the pilot list of 36 cities (regions) on November 25th, 2022, by the end of June 2023, in less than one year, the number of people opening individual pension accounts has reached 40.3 million, and by the end of June 2024, the number of people opening individual pension accounts in China has exceeded 60 million. (Securities Times)Market News: Most members of the US House of Representatives support the $895 billion national defense policy bill, and voting continues.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.
The output of new energy vehicles takes the lead to seize the new highland of intelligent competition. BYD, GAC Ai 'an and Xpeng Motors, these new energy vehicle brands have helped Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area become the highland of new energy vehicle industry in China. The data shows that one out of every four new energy vehicles in China is "made in Guangdong". At present, a number of leading enterprises in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area have emerged, such as Shenzhen Yinwang, Zhuoyu, Wen Yuan Zhixing, Xiaoma Zhixing, Desai Xiwei and Sagitar Juchuang, which have formed a perfect intelligent networked automobile industry chain. According to the insiders, intelligentization provides power for the "second half" of the development of new energy automobile industry, and Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is seizing the new highland of intelligent networked automobile industry.Four people were injured when a bus in Jerusalem was shot, and four people were injured when a bus was shot at a tunnel checkpoint in the south of Jerusalem, one of whom was seriously injured.Securities Daily: Vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of the current macro policy. The article said that consumption is the ballast stone for stable economic operation. However, we must also see that residents' consumer confidence still needs to be enhanced. Therefore, it is necessary to take multiple measures simultaneously, constantly consolidate the foundation of consumption growth, enhance residents' willingness and ability to consume, and promote the sustained recovery of the consumer market. First, increase residents' income through multiple channels and improve their spending power. Second, further support the trade-in of consumer goods. Third, promote the upgrading and expansion of service consumption. Promoting consumption is the main starting point for expanding domestic demand, and boosting consumption is the focus of macroeconomic policy. We firmly believe that with the continuous efforts of various policy initiatives, consumer confidence will continue to increase and consumption potential will continue to be released.
Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)Cai Weidong was appointed as the deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Shentong Metro Group. According to the news of Shentong Metro Group, on the afternoon of December 11th, Shentong Metro Group held a leadership adjustment announcement meeting. At the meeting, the Organization Department of the Municipal Party Committee announced that Cai Weidong was appointed as the deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Shanghai Shentong Metro Group Co., Ltd., and Ge Shiping was removed from the post of deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Shanghai Shentong Metro Group Co., Ltd.The pumped storage capacity of State Grid in operation exceeds 40 million kilowatts. Today (12th), with the full commissioning of Zhen 'an Pumped Storage Power Station in Shaanxi Province, the installed capacity of pumped storage in operation of State Grid Corporation exceeded 40 million kilowatts, accounting for about 70% of the pumped storage power stations in operation in China. After 15 days of trial operation, Unit 4 of Shaanxi Zhen 'an Pumped Storage Power Station was successfully put into operation today, marking the full commissioning of the pumped storage power station.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13